Prop firm earnings calculator

Prop firm earnings calculator that turns your trading edge into a monthly and annual take-home estimate, then simulates the odds you keep the account long enough to collect it. Enter your win rate, average win and loss, risk per trade and how often you trade.

  • free
  • no signup
  • runs in your browser

Firm rules and pricing as last checked September 2026 — always confirm against your own account before you trade.

Account & payout
Your edge

Simulates 5,000 accounts for the survival odds.

Expected take-home per month
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Enter your numbers and press Calculate.

Gross monthly (before split)
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Take-home, annualized
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Chance you keep the account 1 month
--%
Chance you keep the account 1 year
--%
Risk-adjusted monthly estimate
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And the rule that decides what is payableProp firm payout calculator →

Prop firm earnings start from your own edge

Most "how much can you make" pages quote a firm's biggest headline payout number.

This one starts from your own trading edge, turns it into a dollar estimate, then simulates how likely you are to hold the account long enough to see it.

01

The dollar figure is your expectancy, not a guess

Win rate, average win, average loss and risk per trade combine into one number: your expected profit in dollars per trade. Multiply that by how often you trade and you have a monthly figure — the same expectancy math a funded trader would use to size up any account.

02

The odds of keeping the account are simulated

A dollar estimate means nothing if the account gets breached first. The same Monte Carlo engine behind the pass probability calculator runs 5,000 simulated accounts through your drawdown and daily loss rules over a month and a year, so the survival odds come from the same path-dependent model.

03

The two combine into an honest number

The headline take-home is what the math says you earn if things go to plan. The risk-adjusted figure weighs that by your real chance of still holding the account a month from now — the number that matters when you are deciding whether the income is real.

A funded account at a +0.26R edge pays about $130 a trade

Take an example. You trade a funded account on these numbers:

  • $50,000 account, 90% profit split
  • 45% win rate, 1.8R average win, 1R average loss
  • 1% risk per trade, so 1R is $500
  • 20 trades a month
  • 8% trailing drawdown that locks at your starting balance

Your expectancy is 0.45 × 1.8 − 0.55 × 1 = +0.26R, which at $500 a R is about $130 a trade. Twenty trades is $2,600 gross, or $2,340 after the split. Call it $28,000 a year.

Then the simulator weighs that by the odds you still hold the account. Over a month they are about 92%, so the honest monthly figure is nearer $2,150.

Over a year the same account survives about 75% of the time, and only because the floor locks. Put the identical edge on a floor that never locks and the one-month odds barely move (91%) while annual survival falls to 13%.

The lock, not the edge, is what makes a funded account survivable. Check which one your firm uses in the drawdown calculator.

The split is the one input on that list you do not control, and the number you start on is rarely the number advertised. The5ers starts a funded trader at 80% and scales to 100%, FTMO's 2-Step starts at 80% and reaches 90%, and Earn2Trade starts at 50%. On this example's $2,600 of gross monthly profit, that spread is $2,080 a month against $1,300 — the same edge, the same trades.

The earnings calculator assumes a constant edge and a fixed risk size

It assumes your edge is constant and every trade is independent, and it risks a fixed dollar amount off the starting balance rather than compounding as the account grows.

Real trading has streaks and changing conditions that a constant win rate cannot capture. How wide that spread gets is the variance calculator.

It does not model firm-specific payout gates like a consistency rule, minimum trading days, or a first-payout threshold. Use the payout calculator alongside this one for those.

It also assumes the account is already funded, so it says nothing about your odds of getting there. That is what the challenge calculator and the ROI calculator are for, and what the attempt costs is evaluation cost.

The survival odds do model where a trailing floor stops rising, which matters more than almost anything else here. Pick the drawdown type that matches your firm.

What they do not model is intraday risk on a real-time trailing firm: the simulator moves your balance trade by trade, so a position that runs deep against you and comes back is invisible to it, while your firm would have counted the low.

Common prop firm earnings questions

How much can you actually make with a funded account?
It depends entirely on your trading edge and how often you trade, not on the firm. This calculator turns your win rate, average win/loss and trade frequency into a dollar estimate, scaled by the account size and your profit split — the same expectancy math professional risk managers use, applied to your own numbers.
Why does the calculator also show a "chance you keep the account"?
Because a monthly income estimate is meaningless if the account gets breached first. The tool simulates 5,000 accounts against your real drawdown and daily loss rules to estimate how likely you are to still be trading the account a month or a year from now, and weighs the earnings estimate by that probability.
Does this account for the cost of failing challenges to get funded?
No — this tool assumes the account is already funded. To weigh the challenge fee against your odds of getting funded in the first place, use the ROI & risk-of-ruin calculator, which chains the evaluation phases together and prices the fee against the expected payout. Worth checking the payout mechanics too: withdrawal fees, minimum withdrawal amounts and per-request caps vary by firm and quietly reduce what a projection like this one actually delivers.
Why might my real earnings differ from the estimate?
The model assumes a constant edge and independent trades, with no compounding of position size as the account grows or shrinks. Real trading has streaks, changing market conditions, and firm-specific payout rules like consistency requirements that this calculator does not model. Treat the number as a realistic estimate, not a promise.